Thank you for your interest in spreading the word on PNAS. We welcome feedback. Please enable Cookies and reload the page. We are supported by generous grants from the Carnegie Corporation of New York, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and The National Institute for Health Care Management (NIHCM) Foundation. Expert credibility in climate change. []))). The study’s authors, from Stanford University, the University of … This divide is even starker when considering the top researchers in each group. Here, we use an extensive dataset of 1,372 climate researchers and their publication and citation data to show that (i) 97–98% of the climate researchers most actively publishing in the field support the tenets of ACC outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and (ii) the relative climate expertise and scientific prominence of the researchers unconvinced of ACC are substantially below that of the convinced researchers. Unless otherwise noted, this site and its contents – with the exception of photographs – In any case, a small minority of scientists do express some degree of doubt about this consensus, and they have often been given prominence in the public debate. Your browser will redirect to your requested content shortly. Bayesian analysis of the chronology of life’s emergence and development on Earth suggests that if Earth’s history were repeated, the emergence of intelligence might be a sufficiently rare event that it would not be guaranteed to reoccur. About 97% of the group with the most expertise — the 908 climate scientists with 20 or more papers published — are convinced by the evidence of human-induced climate change. analyzed data; and W.R.L.A., J.W.P., J.H., and S.H.S. We only ask that you follow, Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License. by John Wihbey, Journalist's Resource July 3, 2012. William R. L. Anderegg, James W. Prall, Jacob Harold, Stephen H. Schneider. Author contributions: W.R.L.A. Despite media tendencies to present both sides in ACC … Some governments are using the pandemic as a smokescreen to eviscerate regulations. +((!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+[])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![])+(!+[]-(!![]))+(!+[]-(!![]))+(!+[]+(!![])+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]))/+((!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+[])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+!![])+(+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![]+!![])+(!+[]+(!![])+!![]+!![])+(!+[]-(!![]))+(!+[]-(!! A 2010 study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, “Expert Credibility in Climate Change,” analyzed the research patterns and scholarly citations of 1,372 climate scientists who publish in this field. William R. L. Anderegg, James W. Prall, Jacob Harold, Stephen H. Schneider. Freely available online through the PNAS open access option. The authors declare no conflict of interest. A 2010 study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, “Expert Credibility in Climate Change,” analyzed the research patterns and scholarly citations of 1,372 climate scientists who publish in this field. (The study notes that researchers who are unconvinced of the evidence are “often referred to as climate change skeptics, contrarians, or deniers.”) Though the sample of scientists is not comprehensive, the study’s authors note, the criteria used likely yield the “strongest and most credentialed researchers” in both the unconvinced and unconvinced camps. performed research; W.R.L.A. This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions. A broad analysis of the climate scientist community itself, the distribution of credibility of dissenting researchers relative to agreeing researchers, and the level of agreement among top climate experts has not been conducted and would inform future ACC discussions. The National Institute for Health Care Management (NIHCM) Foundation. In related research, a 2011 study from George Mason University also found that, among a more diverse pool of researchers across government, industry and academia, 97% agreed that global temperatures are rising and 84% agreed that “human-induced greenhouse warming” is now occurring. and J.W.P. Please contact us here. NOTE: We only request your email address so that the person you are recommending the page to knows that you wanted them to see it, and that it is not junk mail. We show that the expertise and prominence, two integral components of overall expert credibility, of climate researchers convinced by the evidence of ACC vastly overshadows that of the climate change skeptics and contrarians.

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